Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 8/9/23

Cleveland Guardians (55-59) vs Toronto Blue Jays (64-51)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Logan Allen (5-4) (3.65) vs Kevin Gausman (8-6) (3.20)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +124 / Toronto Blue Jays -148 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday night at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Toronto won Game 1 in this series by a score of 3-1, while Cleveland answered with the 1-0 win on Tuesday night. Will we see another pitching duel here or will the offenses finally get things going? 

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 64-51 this season and they have won four of their last five Games. Prior to splitting the first two Games in this series, Toronto swept Boston on the road. The Blue Jays scored 25 runs in three Games in Boston, but they have only scored three runs in the first two Games of this series. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this season. The Blue Jays offense has scored 519 runs with a .261 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .265 with 18 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 8-6 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 132 innings pitched this year. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 55-59 this season and they have lost six of their last eight Games. Cleveland came into this series after losing two out of three Games at home against the White Sox. The Guardians have scored three runs or fewer in six of their last eight Games. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 459 runs with a .249 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this year. Andres Gimenez is batting .234 with 10 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 5-4 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 86.1 innings pitched this season.

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Matchup/League Facts

The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.77).

The Toronto Blue Jays ranks T2nd in the league for hits this season (1020).

The Cleveland Guardians ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (780).

The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (116).

Pick

These two teams have played two very low scoring Games to start this series, which plays right into Cleveland’s hands. The Guardians have not hit the ball very well this year and they are near the bottom of the MLB in runs scored. Cleveland is starting Logan Allen, who has allowed 11 earned runs over his last three starts (19 IP). Toronto is starting Kevin Gausman, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I have been on a lot of Guardians unders in recent weeks and I like it again here. Gausman has been solid in recent outings and I don’t trust the Cleveland offense at all. Take the under here. 

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